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Home » Predictions » Others » Anderlecht x Charleroi Betting tips for December 26 in Belgium First Division A
Friday, 26 December 2025, 19h45 Belgium First Division A
Anderlecht Anderlecht
PREDICTION Anderlecht wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Charleroi Charleroi
ODD: @1.8
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Anderlecht x Charleroi Betting tips for December 26 in Belgium First Division A

Our betting tip for Anderlecht x Charleroi, Friday, 26/12/2025
📅 26/12/2025
19:45
Anderlecht Anderlecht
1.80
X
3.55
Charleroi Charleroi
4.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Anderlecht x Charleroi:

🔮 Anderlecht wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Anderlecht, you can win up to $900.00!

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Important information for your tip for Anderlecht x Charleroi:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Anderlecht in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $526.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Charleroi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Anderlecht scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Charleroi conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Anderlecht is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Charleroi as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Anderlecht x Charleroi for the Belgium First Division A – 26 of December

🏟️ Anderlecht X Charleroi – Belgium First Division A
📅 26 of December, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Anderlecht – Winning probability: 66.41% | Fair line: 1.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.34% | Fair line: 4.69
🔴 Charleroi – Winning probability: 12.25% | Fair line: 8.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Anderlecht
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Anderlecht x Charleroi right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455935 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Anderlecht x Charleroi

Is betting on Anderlecht worth it?

🔵 Anderlecht: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $528.00;
  • And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$188.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $535.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$254.50.

Should you bet on Charleroi?

🔴 Charleroi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $396.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$484.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Anderlecht x Charleroi

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Anderlecht
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Anderlecht x Charleroi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Anderlecht and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Anderlecht.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Anderlecht.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Anderlecht x Charleroi

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves