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Home » Predictions » Others » Anker Wismar x TSG Neustrelitz Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga NOFV Nord
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Oberliga NOFV Nord
Anker Wismar Anker Wismar
PREDICTION TSG Neustrelitz Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
TSG Neustrelitz TSG Neustrelitz
ODD: @1.77 Don't miss this prediction!

Anker Wismar x TSG Neustrelitz Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga NOFV Nord

Our betting tip for Anker Wismar x TSG Neustrelitz, Friday, 24/11/2023
📅 24/11/2023
18:30
Anker Wismar Anker Wismar
3.32
X
3.93
TSG Neustrelitz TSG Neustrelitz
1.77

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Anker Wismar x TSG Neustrelitz:

🔮 TSG Neustrelitz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on TSG Neustrelitz, you can win up to $885.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Anker Wismar x TSG Neustrelitz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Anker Wismar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on TSG Neustrelitz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-315.0.

📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Anker Wismar x TSG Neustrelitz

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Anker Wismar x TSG Neustrelitz for the Germany Oberliga NOFV Nord – 24 of November

🏟️ Anker Wismar X TSG Neustrelitz – Germany Oberliga NOFV Nord
📅 24 of November, 2023 – 18:30
🔵 Anker Wismar – Winning probability: 20.74% | Fair line: 4.82
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.74% | Fair line: 4.82
🔴 TSG Neustrelitz – Winning probability: 58.53% | Fair line: 1.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Anker Wismar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Anker Wismar x TSG Neustrelitz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Anker Wismar x TSG Neustrelitz

Is betting on Anker Wismar worth it?

🔵 Anker Wismar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $487.20;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$302.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $615.30;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$174.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on TSG Neustrelitz?

🔴 TSG Neustrelitz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.77. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $454.30
  • And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$44.30.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Anker Wismar x TSG Neustrelitz

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Anker Wismar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Anker Wismar x TSG Neustrelitz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Anker Wismar, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Anker Wismar.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 TSG Neustrelitz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Anker Wismar x TSG Neustrelitz

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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