Apea Akrotiriou x AEP Polemidion Betting tips for November 30 in Cyprus Division 3
| 📅 30/11/2024 12:30 |
 Apea Akrotiriou1.40 |
X 4.33 |
AEP Polemidion  6.12 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Apea Akrotiriou x AEP Polemidion:
🔮 Apea Akrotiriou wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Apea Akrotiriou, you can win up to $700.00!
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The main points for the tip for Apea Akrotiriou x AEP Polemidion: 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, APEA Akrotiriou scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from Apea Akrotiriou x AEP Polemidion for the Cyprus Division 3 – 30 of November
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🏟️ Apea Akrotiriou X AEP Polemidion – Cyprus Division 3 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Apea Akrotiriou x AEP Polemidion right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Apea Akrotiriou x AEP Polemidion
Should you bet on Apea Akrotiriou?
🔵 Apea Akrotiriou: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 840 times – profiting $336.00;
- And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$176.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $399.60;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$480.40.
Is betting on AEP Polemidion worth it?
🔴 AEP Polemidion: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $204.80;
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$755.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Apea Akrotiriou x AEP Polemidion
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Apea Akrotiriou
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Apea Akrotiriou x AEP Polemidion
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Apea Akrotiriou, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Apea Akrotiriou.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 AEP Polemidion.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Apea Akrotiriou x AEP Polemidion
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
