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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» APK Karmotissa x Omonia Aradippou Betting tips for January 13 in Cyprus Division 1
Monday, 13 January 2025, 16h30 Cyprus Division 1
APK Karmotissa APK Karmotissa
PREDICTION No tip
Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou
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APK Karmotissa x Omonia Aradippou Betting tips for January 13 in Cyprus Division 1

Our betting tip for APK Karmotissa x Omonia Aradippou, Monday, 13/1/2025
πŸ“… 13/1/2025
16:30
APK Karmotissa APK Karmotissa
1.97
X
3.32
Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou
3.28

Our algorithm has selected this tip for APK Karmotissa x Omonia Aradippou:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for APK Karmotissa x Omonia Aradippou

Some important points for the tip for APK Karmotissa x Omonia Aradippou:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on APK Karmotissa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Omonia Aradippou in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-315.0.
πŸ‘‰ Omonia Aradippou did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, APK Karmotissa scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Omonia Aradippou, APK Karmotissa scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Omonia Aradippou conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ APK Karmotissa has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Omonia Aradippou.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Omonia Aradippou as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from APK Karmotissa x Omonia Aradippou for the Cyprus Division 1 – 13 of January

🏟️ APK Karmotissa X Omonia Aradippou – Cyprus Division 1
πŸ“… 13 of January, 2025 – 16:30
πŸ”΅ APK Karmotissa – Winning probability: 51.88% | Fair line: 1.93
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.73% | Fair line: 4.04
πŸ”΄ Omonia Aradippou – Winning probability: 23.39% | Fair line: 4.28
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 APK Karmotissa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between APK Karmotissa and Omonia Aradippou.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1245169 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for APK Karmotissa x Omonia Aradippou

Is it a good idea to bet on APK Karmotissa?

πŸ”΅ APK Karmotissa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.97. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $504.40
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$24.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $580.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$170.00.

Should you bet on Omonia Aradippou?

πŸ”΄ Omonia Aradippou: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $524.40
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$245.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match APK Karmotissa x Omonia Aradippou

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 APK Karmotissa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for APK Karmotissa x Omonia Aradippou

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 APK Karmotissa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 APK Karmotissa.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for APK Karmotissa x Omonia Aradippou

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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