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Home » Predictions » Others » Apollon Kalamarias x Pierikos Betting tips for December 14 in Greece Gamma Ethniki
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 13h00 Greece Gamma Ethniki
Apollon Kalamarias Apollon Kalamarias
PREDICTION Apollon Kalamarias wins Probability 91% 1 X 2
Pierikos Pierikos
ODD: @1.48
Bonus 100% up to $500
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Apollon Kalamarias x Pierikos Betting tips for December 14 in Greece Gamma Ethniki

Our betting tip for Apollon Kalamarias x Pierikos, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
13:00
Apollon Kalamarias Apollon Kalamarias
1.48
X
3.60
Pierikos Pierikos
6.53

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Apollon Kalamarias x Pierikos:

🔮 Apollon Kalamarias wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Apollon Kalamarias, you can win up to $740.00!

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Important information for your tip for Apollon Kalamarias x Pierikos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Apollon Kalamarias in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $3.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pierikos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-63.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Apollon Kalamarias scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Pierikos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Apollon Kalamarias is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Apollon Kalamarias x Pierikos for the Greece Gamma Ethniki – 14 of December

🏟️ Apollon Kalamarias X Pierikos – Greece Gamma Ethniki
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Apollon Kalamarias – Winning probability: 91.16% | Fair line: 1.1
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.45% | Fair line: 13.43
🔴 Pierikos – Winning probability: 1.39% | Fair line: 71.91
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Apollon Kalamarias
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Apollon Kalamarias x Pierikos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Apollon Kalamarias x Pierikos

Should you bet on Apollon Kalamarias?

🔵 Apollon Kalamarias: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 91.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 910 times – having a profit of $436.80;
  • And would lose other 90 times – having a loss of -$90.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$346.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $182.00;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$748.00.

Is betting on Pierikos worth it?

🔴 Pierikos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $55.30;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$934.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Apollon Kalamarias x Pierikos

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Apollon Kalamarias
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Apollon Kalamarias x Pierikos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Apollon Kalamarias, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Apollon Kalamarias.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Apollon Kalamarias.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Apollon Kalamarias x Pierikos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves