Apollon Limassol x Aris Limassol Betting tips for December 14 in Cyprus Division 1
| 📅 14/12/2025 17:00 |
 Apollon Limassol3.50 |
X 3.30 |
Aris Limassol  1.95 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Apollon Limassol x Aris Limassol:
🔮 Aris Limassol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aris Limassol, you can win up to $975.00!
Important information for your tip for Apollon Limassol x Aris Limassol:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Apollon Limassol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $108.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aris Limassol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Aris Limassol conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Apollon Limassol conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Aris Limassol.
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Analysis from Apollon Limassol x Aris Limassol for the Cyprus Division 1 – 14 of December
🏟️ Apollon Limassol X Aris Limassol – Cyprus Division 1
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Apollon Limassol – Winning probability: 17.69% | Fair line: 5.65
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.68% | Fair line: 3.49
🔴 Aris Limassol – Winning probability: 53.63% | Fair line: 1.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Apollon Limassol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Apollon Limassol x Aris Limassol right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Apollon Limassol x Aris Limassol
Is betting on Apollon Limassol worth it?
🔵 Apollon Limassol: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $450.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$370.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $667.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$43.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on Aris Limassol?
🔴 Aris Limassol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $513.00;
- And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$53.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Apollon Limassol x Aris Limassol
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Apollon Limassol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Apollon Limassol x Aris Limassol
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Apollon Limassol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Apollon Limassol.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Apollon Limassol.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Apollon Limassol x Aris Limassol
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
