Aquila 1902 Montevarchi x Prato Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 21/12/2025 13:30 |
 Aquila 1902 Montevarchi2.49 |
X 3.40 |
Prato  2.41 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Aquila 1902 Montevarchi x Prato:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!
The main points for the tip for Aquila 1902 Montevarchi x Prato:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aquila 1902 Montevarchi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-246.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Prato in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 In the last 4 Aquila 1902 Montevarchi matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Prato matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
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Analysis from Aquila 1902 Montevarchi x Prato for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December
🏟️ Aquila 1902 Montevarchi X Prato – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Aquila 1902 Montevarchi – Winning probability: 28.56% | Fair line: 3.5
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.40% | Fair line: 2.91
🔴 Prato – Winning probability: 37.04% | Fair line: 2.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Aquila 1902 Montevarchi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Aquila 1902 Montevarchi and Prato.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Aquila 1902 Montevarchi x Prato
Is it worth betting on Aquila 1902 Montevarchi?
🔵 Aquila 1902 Montevarchi: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $432.10;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$277.90.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $816.00;
- And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$156.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Prato?
🔴 Prato: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $521.70
- And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$108.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Aquila 1902 Montevarchi x Prato
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Aquila 1902 Montevarchi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aquila 1902 Montevarchi x Prato
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Aquila 1902 Montevarchi, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Aquila 1902 Montevarchi.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Prato.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aquila 1902 Montevarchi x Prato
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
