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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz Betting tips for November 29 in Azerbaijan Premier League
Friday, 29 November 2024, 12h00 Azerbaijan Premier League
Araz FK Araz FK
PREDICTION No tip
PFK Turan Tovuz PFK Turan Tovuz
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Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz Betting tips for November 29 in Azerbaijan Premier League

Our betting tip for Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz, Friday, 29/11/2024
πŸ“… 29/11/2024
12:00
Araz FK Araz FK
2.50
X
3.00
PFK Turan Tovuz PFK Turan Tovuz
2.65

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz

Some important points for the tip for Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Araz FK in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-2.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on PFK Turan Tovuz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $365.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Araz FK scored at least 1.0 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, PFK Turan Tovuz scored at least 1.0 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, PFK Turan Tovuz conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, PFK Turan Tovuz has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz:

Analysis from Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz for the Azerbaijan Premier League – 29 of November

🏟️ Araz FK X PFK Turan Tovuz – Azerbaijan Premier League
πŸ“… 29 of November, 2024 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ Araz FK – Winning probability: 37.59% | Fair line: 2.66
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.53% | Fair line: 3.39
πŸ”΄ PFK Turan Tovuz – Winning probability: 32.88% | Fair line: 3.04
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Araz FK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229376 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz

Should you bet on Araz FK?

πŸ”΅ Araz FK: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $570.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$50.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$100.00.

Is betting on PFK Turan Tovuz worth it?

πŸ”΄ PFK Turan Tovuz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $544.50;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$125.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Araz FK
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Araz FK and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Araz FK. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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