Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz Betting tips for November 29 in Azerbaijan Premier League
π
29/11/2024 12:00 |
Araz FK 2.50 |
X 3.00 |
PFK Turan Tovuz 2.65 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz:
π Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz
Some important points for the tip for Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz: π If you had bet $100 on Araz FK in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-2.0. |
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Analysis from Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz for the Azerbaijan Premier League – 29 of November
ποΈ Araz FK X PFK Turan Tovuz – Azerbaijan Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229376 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz
Should you bet on Araz FK?
π΅ Araz FK: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $570.00;
- And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$50.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $600.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$100.00.
Is betting on PFK Turan Tovuz worth it?
π΄ PFK Turan Tovuz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $544.50;
- And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$125.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Araz FK
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Araz FK and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Araz FK. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Araz FK x PFK Turan Tovuz
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.