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Home » Predictions » Others » Arba Minch x Mekelakeya Betting tips for November 29 in Ethiopia Premier League
Friday, 29 November 2024, 16h00 Ethiopia Premier League
Arba Minch Arba Minch
PREDICTION Mekelakeya Wins Probability 47% 1 X 2
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Arba Minch x Mekelakeya Betting tips for November 29 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Arba Minch x Mekelakeya, Friday, 29/11/2024
📅 29/11/2024
16:00
Arba Minch Arba Minch
3.04
X
2.90
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
2.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Arba Minch x Mekelakeya:

🔮 Mekelakeya wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mekelakeya, you can win up to $1150.00!

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Important information for your tip for Arba Minch x Mekelakeya:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arba Minch in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $236.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mekelakeya in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-33.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Arba Minch scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Mekelakeya scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 road matches, Mekelakeya has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Arba Minch x Mekelakeya for the Ethiopia Premier League – 29 of November

🏟️ Arba Minch X Mekelakeya – Ethiopia Premier League
📅 29 of November, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Arba Minch – Winning probability: 20.44% | Fair line: 4.89
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.81% | Fair line: 3.14
🔴 Mekelakeya – Winning probability: 47.75% | Fair line: 2.09
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Arba Minch
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Arba Minch x Mekelakeya is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229376 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arba Minch x Mekelakeya

Is betting on Arba Minch worth it?

🔵 Arba Minch: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $408.00
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$392.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $608.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$72.00.

Is it worth betting on Mekelakeya?

🔴 Mekelakeya: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $624.00;
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$104.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Arba Minch x Mekelakeya

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Arba Minch
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arba Minch x Mekelakeya

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Arba Minch, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Arba Minch.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Arba Minch.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arba Minch x Mekelakeya

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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