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Home » Predictions » Others » Argentinos Jrs x San Lorenzo Betting tips for December 9 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Monday, 09 December 2024, 22h15 Argentina Liga Profesional
Argentinos Jrs Argentinos Jrs
PREDICTION Argentinos Jrs wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
ODD: @2.14 Don't miss this prediction!

Argentinos Jrs x San Lorenzo Betting tips for December 9 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Argentinos Jrs x San Lorenzo, Monday, 9/12/2024
📅 9/12/2024
22:15
Argentinos Jrs Argentinos Jrs
2.14
X
2.94
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
3.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Argentinos Jrs x San Lorenzo:

🔮 Argentinos Jrs wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Argentinos Jrs, you can win up to $1070.00!

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Important information for your tip for Argentinos Jrs x San Lorenzo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Argentinos Jrs in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-92.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on San Lorenzo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $260.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, San Lorenzo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Argentinos Jrs matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 San Lorenzo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Argentinos Jrs x San Lorenzo, with Argentinos Jrs as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, San Lorenzo has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Argentinos Jrs x San Lorenzo for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 9 of December

🏟️ Argentinos Jrs X San Lorenzo – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 9 of December, 2024 – 22:15
🔵 Argentinos Jrs – Winning probability: 64.45% | Fair line: 1.55
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.95% | Fair line: 4.01
🔴 San Lorenzo – Winning probability: 10.60% | Fair line: 9.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Argentinos Jrs
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Argentinos Jrs x San Lorenzo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1234813 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Argentinos Jrs x San Lorenzo

Is betting on Argentinos Jrs worth it?

🔵 Argentinos Jrs: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $729.60;
  • And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$369.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.94. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $485.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$265.00.

Should you bet on San Lorenzo?

🔴 San Lorenzo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $302.50;
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$587.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Argentinos Jrs x San Lorenzo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Argentinos Jrs
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Argentinos Jrs x San Lorenzo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Argentinos Jrs, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Argentinos Jrs.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 San Lorenzo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Argentinos Jrs x San Lorenzo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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