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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Aris Limassol x Apoel Nicosia Betting tips for November 25 in Cyprus Division 1
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Cyprus Division 1
Aris Limassol Aris Limassol
PREDICTION Aris Limassol wins Probability 16% 1 X 2
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
ODD: @2.25 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Aris Limassol x Apoel Nicosia Betting tips for November 25 in Cyprus Division 1

Our betting tip for Aris Limassol x Apoel Nicosia, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
17:00
Aris Limassol Aris Limassol
2.25
X
3.20
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
2.88

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Aris Limassol x Apoel Nicosia:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Aris Limassol wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aris Limassol, you can win up to $1125.00!

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The main points for the tip for Aris Limassol x Apoel Nicosia:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Aris Limassol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $106.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Apoel Nicosia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $56.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Apoel Nicosia scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Apoel Nicosia has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Aris Limassol x Apoel Nicosia

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Summary

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Analysis from Aris Limassol x Apoel Nicosia for the Cyprus Division 1 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Aris Limassol X Apoel Nicosia – Cyprus Division 1
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 17:00
๐Ÿ”ต Aris Limassol – Winning probability: 57.49% | Fair line: 1.74
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.95% | Fair line: 3.85
๐Ÿ”ด Apoel Nicosia – Winning probability: 16.56% | Fair line: 6.04
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Aris Limassol
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Aris Limassol x Apoel Nicosia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aris Limassol x Apoel Nicosia

Is it a good idea to bet on Aris Limassol?

๐Ÿ”ต Aris Limassol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $712.50;
  • And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$282.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $572.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$168.00.

Should you bet on Apoel Nicosia?

๐Ÿ”ด Apoel Nicosia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $319.60;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$510.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Aris Limassol x Apoel Nicosia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Aris Limassol
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aris Limassol x Apoel Nicosia

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Aris Limassol, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Aris Limassol.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Aris Limassol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aris Limassol x Apoel Nicosia

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves