Aris Salonika x AEK Athens Betting tips for January 11 in Greece Super League 1
| 📅 11/1/2026 17:30 |
 Aris Salonika4.68 |
X 3.42 |
AEK Athens  1.70 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Aris Salonika x AEK Athens:
🔮 AEK Athens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AEK Athens, you can win up to $850.00!
Important information for your tip for Aris Salonika x AEK Athens:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aris Salonika in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-188.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AEK Athens in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $762.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, AEK Athens scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Aris Salonika matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 AEK Athens matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 AEK Athens is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 6 wins in a row in its last road matches.
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Analysis from Aris Salonika x AEK Athens for the Greece Super League 1 – 11 of January
🏟️ Aris Salonika X AEK Athens – Greece Super League 1
📅 11 of January, 2026 – 17:30
🔵 Aris Salonika – Winning probability: 11.70% | Fair line: 8.54
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.36% | Fair line: 5.17
🔴 AEK Athens – Winning probability: 68.94% | Fair line: 1.45
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Aris Salonika
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Tips for the Match Odds market for Aris Salonika x AEK Athens
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Aris Salonika and AEK Athens.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1460349 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Is betting on Aris Salonika worth it?
🔵 Aris Salonika: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $441.60;
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$438.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $459.80;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$350.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on AEK Athens?
🔴 AEK Athens: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $483.00;
- And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$173.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Aris Salonika x AEK Athens
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Aris Salonika
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aris Salonika x AEK Athens
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Aris Salonika and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Aris Salonika.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aris Salonika x AEK Athens
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
