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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Arka Gdynia x Lechia Gdansk Betting tips for November 24 in Poland I Liga
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Poland I Liga
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
PREDICTION Arka Gdynia wins Probability 17% 1 X 2
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Arka Gdynia x Lechia Gdansk Betting tips for November 24 in Poland I Liga

Our betting tip for Arka Gdynia x Lechia Gdansk, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
19:30
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
1.85
X
3.55
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
3.54

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Arka Gdynia x Lechia Gdansk:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Arka Gdynia wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arka Gdynia, you can win up to $925.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Arka Gdynia x Lechia Gdansk:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Arka Gdynia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $428.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lechia Gdansk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Arka Gdynia did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Arka Gdynia scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Arka Gdynia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Arka Gdynia is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Lechia Gdansk has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Arka Gdynia x Lechia Gdansk

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Summary

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Analysis from Arka Gdynia x Lechia Gdansk for the Poland I Liga – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Arka Gdynia X Lechia Gdansk – Poland I Liga
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:30
๐Ÿ”ต Arka Gdynia – Winning probability: 57.48% | Fair line: 1.74
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.11% | Fair line: 3.98
๐Ÿ”ด Lechia Gdansk – Winning probability: 17.41% | Fair line: 5.74
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Arka Gdynia
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Arka Gdynia x Lechia Gdansk is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arka Gdynia x Lechia Gdansk

Is it worth betting on Arka Gdynia?

๐Ÿ”ต Arka Gdynia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $484.50
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$54.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $637.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$112.50.

Should you bet on Lechia Gdansk?

๐Ÿ”ด Lechia Gdansk: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $431.80
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$398.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Arka Gdynia x Lechia Gdansk

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Arka Gdynia
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arka Gdynia x Lechia Gdansk

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Arka Gdynia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Arka Gdynia. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arka Gdynia x Lechia Gdansk

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves