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Home » Predictions » Others » Arka Gdynia x Stal Rzeszow Betting tips for December 2 in Poland I Liga
Monday, 02 December 2024, 18h00 Poland I Liga
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
PREDICTION Stal Rzeszow Wins Probability 23% 1 X 2
Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow
ODD: @5.15 Don't miss this prediction!

Arka Gdynia x Stal Rzeszow Betting tips for December 2 in Poland I Liga

Our betting tip for Arka Gdynia x Stal Rzeszow, Monday, 2/12/2024
📅 2/12/2024
18:00
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
1.50
X
4.20
Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow
5.15

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Arka Gdynia x Stal Rzeszow:

🔮 Stal Rzeszow wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Stal Rzeszow, you can win up to $2575.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Arka Gdynia x Stal Rzeszow:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arka Gdynia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $88.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Stal Rzeszow in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Arka Gdynia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Stal Rzeszow conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Arka Gdynia x Stal Rzeszow for the Poland I Liga – 2 of December

🏟️ Arka Gdynia X Stal Rzeszow – Poland I Liga
📅 2 of December, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Arka Gdynia – Winning probability: 60.01% | Fair line: 1.67
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.71% | Fair line: 5.99
🔴 Stal Rzeszow – Winning probability: 23.28% | Fair line: 4.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Arka Gdynia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Arka Gdynia x Stal Rzeszow right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230608 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Arka Gdynia x Stal Rzeszow

Is it a good idea to bet on Arka Gdynia?

🔵 Arka Gdynia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $300.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$100.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $544.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$286.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Stal Rzeszow?

🔴 Stal Rzeszow: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $954.50;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$184.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Arka Gdynia x Stal Rzeszow

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Arka Gdynia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arka Gdynia x Stal Rzeszow

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Arka Gdynia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Arka Gdynia. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arka Gdynia x Stal Rzeszow

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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