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Home » Predictions » Others » Arnavutkoy Belediyesi x Somaspor Betting tips for November 30 in Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 11h00 Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
Arnavutkoy Belediyesi Arnavutkoy Belediyesi
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Somaspor Somaspor
ODD: @3.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Arnavutkoy Belediyesi x Somaspor Betting tips for November 30 in Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi

Our betting tip for Arnavutkoy Belediyesi x Somaspor, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
11:00
Arnavutkoy Belediyesi Arnavutkoy Belediyesi
1.97
X
3.30
Somaspor Somaspor
3.36

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Arnavutkoy Belediyesi x Somaspor:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Arnavutkoy Belediyesi x Somaspor:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arnavutkoy Belediyesi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $328.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Somaspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $323.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Arnavutkoy Belediyesi scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Somaspor conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Arnavutkoy Belediyesi x Somaspor for the Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi – 30 of November

🏟️ Arnavutkoy Belediyesi X Somaspor – Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Arnavutkoy Belediyesi – Winning probability: 47.24% | Fair line: 2.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.49% | Fair line: 3.08
🔴 Somaspor – Winning probability: 20.26% | Fair line: 4.93
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Arnavutkoy Belediyesi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Arnavutkoy Belediyesi x Somaspor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Arnavutkoy Belediyesi x Somaspor

Should you bet on Arnavutkoy Belediyesi?

🔵 Arnavutkoy Belediyesi: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $455.90
  • And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$74.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $736.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$56.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Somaspor?

🔴 Somaspor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $472.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Arnavutkoy Belediyesi x Somaspor

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Arnavutkoy Belediyesi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arnavutkoy Belediyesi x Somaspor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Arnavutkoy Belediyesi and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Arnavutkoy Belediyesi.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Somaspor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arnavutkoy Belediyesi x Somaspor

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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