Arsenal x Crystal Palace Betting tips for December 16 in England EFL Cup
| 📅 16/12/2025 19:45 |
 Arsenal1.57 |
X 4.00 |
Crystal Palace  5.50 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Arsenal x Crystal Palace:
🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $785.00!
Important information for your tip for Arsenal x Crystal Palace:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $284.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $251.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Arsenal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Crystal Palace, Arsenal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Crystal Palace did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
👉 Arsenal is good playing home: it has 8 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Crystal Palace is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 Arsenal has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Crystal Palace playing at home.
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Analysis from Arsenal x Crystal Palace for the England EFL Cup – 16 of December
🏟️ Arsenal X Crystal Palace – England EFL Cup
📅 16 of December, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Arsenal – Winning probability: 83.32% | Fair line: 1.2
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.76% | Fair line: 10.24
🔴 Crystal Palace – Winning probability: 6.92% | Fair line: 14.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Arsenal and Crystal Palace.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452259 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Arsenal x Crystal Palace
Is it a good idea to bet on Arsenal?
🔵 Arsenal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 83.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 830 times – having a profit of $473.10;
- And would have lost other 170 times – with a loss of -$170.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$303.10.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $300.00
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$600.00.
Is betting on Crystal Palace worth it?
🔴 Crystal Palace: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $315.00
- And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$615.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Crystal Palace
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Crystal Palace
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Arsenal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Arsenal.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Crystal Palace.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Crystal Palace
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
