Arsenal x Newcastle Betting tips for January 7 in England EFL Cup

Our betting tip for Arsenal x Newcastle, Tuesday, 7/1/2025

📅 7/1/2025 20:00

Arsenal 1.57

X 4.20

Newcastle 5.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Arsenal x Newcastle:

🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $785.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Arsenal x Newcastle: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $26.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Arsenal is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 72.00% of possession. 👉 Newcastle is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches. 👉 Arsenal has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Newcastle playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Arsenal x Newcastle?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Arsenal x Newcastle:

Analysis from Arsenal x Newcastle for the England EFL Cup – 7 of January

When the best bet on Arsenal x Newcastle is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1243026 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Arsenal x Newcastle

Should you bet on Arsenal?

🔵 Arsenal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 72.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $410.40;
• And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$130.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $448.00
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$412.00.

Is it worth betting on Newcastle?

🔴 Newcastle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$272.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Newcastle

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Newcastle

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Arsenal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Arsenal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Arsenal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Newcastle

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.