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Home » Predictions » Others » AS Nordia Jerusalem x MS Hapoel Lod Betting tips for November 26 in Israel Liga Alef South
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 16h30 Israel Liga Alef South
AS Nordia Jerusalem AS Nordia Jerusalem
PREDICTION AS Nordia Jerusalem wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
MS Hapoel Lod MS Hapoel Lod
ODD: @1.68 Don't miss this prediction!

AS Nordia Jerusalem x MS Hapoel Lod Betting tips for November 26 in Israel Liga Alef South

Our betting tip for AS Nordia Jerusalem x MS Hapoel Lod, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
16:30
AS Nordia Jerusalem AS Nordia Jerusalem
1.68
X
3.60
MS Hapoel Lod MS Hapoel Lod
4.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AS Nordia Jerusalem x MS Hapoel Lod:

🔮 AS Nordia Jerusalem wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AS Nordia Jerusalem, you can win up to $840.00!

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Important information for your tip for AS Nordia Jerusalem x MS Hapoel Lod:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AS Nordia Jerusalem in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $44.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on MS Hapoel Lod in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $45.0.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, MS Hapoel Lod has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from AS Nordia Jerusalem x MS Hapoel Lod for the Israel Liga Alef South – 26 of November

🏟️ AS Nordia Jerusalem X MS Hapoel Lod – Israel Liga Alef South
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 AS Nordia Jerusalem – Winning probability: 82.45% | Fair line: 1.21
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.99% | Fair line: 9.1
🔴 MS Hapoel Lod – Winning probability: 6.56% | Fair line: 15.24
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 AS Nordia Jerusalem
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AS Nordia Jerusalem and MS Hapoel Lod.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1227868 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AS Nordia Jerusalem x MS Hapoel Lod

Is it worth betting on AS Nordia Jerusalem?

🔵 AS Nordia Jerusalem: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $557.60;
  • And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$377.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $286.00
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$604.00.

Should you bet on MS Hapoel Lod?

🔴 MS Hapoel Lod: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $245.00
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$685.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AS Nordia Jerusalem x MS Hapoel Lod

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 AS Nordia Jerusalem
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AS Nordia Jerusalem x MS Hapoel Lod

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 AS Nordia Jerusalem and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 AS Nordia Jerusalem.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 AS Nordia Jerusalem.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AS Nordia Jerusalem x MS Hapoel Lod

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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