ASD Imperia x Derthona Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D
| π
14/12/2025 14:00 |
ASD Imperia2.30 |
X 3.20 |
Derthona ![]() 2.70 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for ASD Imperia x Derthona:
π Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for ASD Imperia x Derthona
The main points for the tip for ASD Imperia x Derthona:
π If you had bet $100 on ASD Imperia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $158.0.
π If you had bet $100 on Derthona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $766.0.
π In the last 5 matches as the home team, ASD Imperia scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 5 matches as the away team, Derthona scored at least 1 goal(s).
π In the last 3 matches as the home team against Derthona, ASD Imperia scored at least 2 goal(s).
π Derthona is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
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Analysis from ASD Imperia x Derthona for the Italy Serie D – 14 of December
ποΈ ASD Imperia X Derthona – Italy Serie D
π
14 of December, 2025 – 14:00
π΅ ASD Imperia – Winning probability: 33.68% | Fair line: 2.97
βͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.51% | Fair line: 3.39
π΄ Derthona – Winning probability: 36.81% | Fair line: 2.72
β Handicap 1×2: +0.25 ASD Imperia
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between ASD Imperia and Derthona.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for ASD Imperia x Derthona
Is it a good idea to bet on ASD Imperia?
π΅ ASD Imperia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 340 times – profiting $442.00;
- And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$218.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $660.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$40.00.
Is it worth betting on Derthona?
π΄ Derthona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $629.00;
- And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$1.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match ASD Imperia x Derthona
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: +0.25 ASD Imperia
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ASD Imperia x Derthona
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 ASD Imperia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 ASD Imperia.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Derthona.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ASD Imperia x Derthona
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

ASD Imperia