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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» ASV Suchteln x Holzheimer SG Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Landesliga
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Landesliga
ASV Suchteln ASV Suchteln
PREDICTION No tip
Holzheimer SG Holzheimer SG
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ASV Suchteln x Holzheimer SG Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Landesliga

Our betting tip for ASV Suchteln x Holzheimer SG, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
19:00
ASV Suchteln ASV Suchteln
2.75
X
3.68
Holzheimer SG Holzheimer SG
2.13

Our algorithm has selected this tip for ASV Suchteln x Holzheimer SG:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for ASV Suchteln x Holzheimer SG

Important information for your tip for ASV Suchteln x Holzheimer SG:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ASV Suchteln in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $410.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Holzheimer SG in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, ASV Suchteln scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 ASV Suchteln matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Holzheimer SG matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, ASV Suchteln conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Holzheimer SG conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for ASV Suchteln x Holzheimer SG

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Summary

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Analysis from ASV Suchteln x Holzheimer SG for the Germany Landesliga – 24 of November

🏟️ ASV Suchteln X Holzheimer SG – Germany Landesliga
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:00
πŸ”΅ ASV Suchteln – Winning probability: 27.05% | Fair line: 3.7
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.62% | Fair line: 3.49
πŸ”΄ Holzheimer SG – Winning probability: 44.32% | Fair line: 2.26
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 ASV Suchteln
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between ASV Suchteln and Holzheimer SG.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for ASV Suchteln x Holzheimer SG

Should you bet on ASV Suchteln?

πŸ”΅ ASV Suchteln: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $472.50;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$257.50.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $777.20;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$67.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Holzheimer SG?

πŸ”΄ Holzheimer SG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.13. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $497.20;
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$62.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match ASV Suchteln x Holzheimer SG

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 ASV Suchteln
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ASV Suchteln x Holzheimer SG

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 ASV Suchteln and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 ASV Suchteln.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 ASV Suchteln.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ASV Suchteln x Holzheimer SG

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves