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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป At. Albericia x CD Bezana Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 3
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 3
At. Albericia At. Albericia
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 15% 1 X 2
CD Bezana CD Bezana
ODD: @3.56 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

At. Albericia x CD Bezana Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 3

Our betting tip for At. Albericia x CD Bezana, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
16:00
At. Albericia At. Albericia
1.72
X
3.56
CD Bezana CD Bezana
4.17

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for At. Albericia x CD Bezana:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1780.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for At. Albericia x CD Bezana:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on At. Albericia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, At. Albericia scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, CD Bezana scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, At. Albericia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against CD Bezana.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, CD Bezana has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for At. Albericia x CD Bezana

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Summary

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Analysis from At. Albericia x CD Bezana for the Spain Tercera Group 3 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ At. Albericia X CD Bezana – Spain Tercera Group 3
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต At. Albericia – Winning probability: 52.67% | Fair line: 1.9
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.36% | Fair line: 3.19
๐Ÿ”ด CD Bezana – Winning probability: 15.97% | Fair line: 6.26
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 At. Albericia
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for At. Albericia x CD Bezana right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for At. Albericia x CD Bezana

Is it worth betting on At. Albericia?

๐Ÿ”ต At. Albericia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $381.60;
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$88.40.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $793.60
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$103.60.

Should you bet on CD Bezana?

๐Ÿ”ด CD Bezana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $507.20;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$332.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match At. Albericia x CD Bezana

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 At. Albericia
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for At. Albericia x CD Bezana

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 At. Albericia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 At. Albericia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 CD Bezana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for At. Albericia x CD Bezana

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves