Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna, Sunday, 14/12/2025

📅 14/12/2025 11:00

Athletic Bilbao B 2.18

X 3.00

Celta Fortuna 3.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna

Some important points for the tip for Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-95.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Celta Fortuna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $40.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Celta Fortuna conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Athletic Bilbao B conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Celta Fortuna.

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Analysis from Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 14 of December

When the best bet on Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452657 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna

Is betting on Athletic Bilbao B worth it?

🔵 Athletic Bilbao B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $554.60;
• And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$24.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $640.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Should you bet on Celta Fortuna?

🔴 Celta Fortuna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $484.00
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$296.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Athletic Bilbao B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Athletic Bilbao B, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Athletic Bilbao B.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Athletic Bilbao B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.