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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Athletic Bilbao B x Tudelano Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Athletic Bilbao B Athletic Bilbao B
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 21% 1 X 2
Tudelano Tudelano
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Athletic Bilbao B x Tudelano Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Athletic Bilbao B x Tudelano, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
17:00
Athletic Bilbao B Athletic Bilbao B
1.83
X
3.20
Tudelano Tudelano
3.88

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Athletic Bilbao B x Tudelano:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Athletic Bilbao B x Tudelano:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $284.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tudelano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $535.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Athletic Bilbao B scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Tudelano scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Tudelano, Athletic Bilbao B scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Tudelano matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Tudelano conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Athletic Bilbao B is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 road matches, Tudelano has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Athletic Bilbao B has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Tudelano.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Athletic Bilbao B x Tudelano

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Summary

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Analysis from Athletic Bilbao B x Tudelano for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Athletic Bilbao B X Tudelano – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 17:00
๐Ÿ”ต Athletic Bilbao B – Winning probability: 43.43% | Fair line: 2.3
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.79% | Fair line: 2.87
๐Ÿ”ด Tudelano – Winning probability: 21.78% | Fair line: 4.59
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Athletic Bilbao B
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Athletic Bilbao B x Tudelano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao B x Tudelano

Is it a good idea to bet on Athletic Bilbao B?

๐Ÿ”ต Athletic Bilbao B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – profiting $356.90;
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$213.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $770.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$120.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Tudelano?

๐Ÿ”ด Tudelano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $633.60;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$146.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao B x Tudelano

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Athletic Bilbao B
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao B x Tudelano

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Athletic Bilbao B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Athletic Bilbao B. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao B x Tudelano

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves