Athletic Club MG U20 x Guarani SP U20 Betting tips for January 4 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
| 📅 4/1/2026 00:00 |
 Athletic Club MG U203.20 |
X 3.60 |
Guarani SP U20  1.91 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Athletic Club MG U20 x Guarani SP U20:
🔮 Guarani SP U20 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guarani SP U20, you can win up to $955.00!
Some important points for the tip for Athletic Club MG U20 x Guarani SP U20:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Guarani SP U20 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $293.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Athletic Club MG U20 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Guarani SP U20 scored at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Athletic Club MG U20 x Guarani SP U20 for the Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup – 4 of January
🏟️ Athletic Club MG U20 X Guarani SP U20 – Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
📅 4 of January, 2026 – 00:00
🔵 Athletic Club MG U20 – Winning probability: 27.06% | Fair line: 3.7
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.54% | Fair line: 7.98
🔴 Guarani SP U20 – Winning probability: 60.41% | Fair line: 1.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Athletic Club MG U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks
Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletic Club MG U20 x Guarani SP U20
When the best bet on Athletic Club MG U20 x Guarani SP U20 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1458320 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Is it a good idea to bet on Athletic Club MG U20?
🔵 Athletic Club MG U20: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $594.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$136.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $338.00;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$532.00.
Is betting on Guarani SP U20 worth it?
🔴 Guarani SP U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $546.00;
- And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$146.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Club MG U20 x Guarani SP U20
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Athletic Club MG U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Club MG U20 x Guarani SP U20
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Athletic Club MG U20, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Athletic Club MG U20.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Athletic Club MG U20.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Club MG U20 x Guarani SP U20
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
