Athletic Torrellano x UD Rayo Ibense Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 6
| 📅 29/9/2024 07:00 |
 Athletic Torrellano1.65 |
X 3.50 |
UD Rayo Ibense  4.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Athletic Torrellano x UD Rayo Ibense:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Athletic Torrellano x UD Rayo Ibense
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Some important points for the tip for Athletic Torrellano x UD Rayo Ibense: 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Athletic Torrellano scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from Athletic Torrellano x UD Rayo Ibense for the Spain Tercera Group 6 – 29 of September
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🏟️ Athletic Torrellano X UD Rayo Ibense – Spain Tercera Group 6 |
When the best bet on Athletic Torrellano x UD Rayo Ibense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Athletic Torrellano x UD Rayo Ibense
Is betting on Athletic Torrellano worth it?
🔵 Athletic Torrellano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $435.50;
- And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$105.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $575.00;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$195.00.
Is betting on UD Rayo Ibense worth it?
🔴 UD Rayo Ibense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $350.00;
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$550.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Torrellano x UD Rayo Ibense
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Athletic Torrellano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Torrellano x UD Rayo Ibense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Athletic Torrellano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Athletic Torrellano.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Torrellano x UD Rayo Ibense
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
