Atlante x Cancun FC Betting tips for March 29 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Atlante x Cancun FC, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025
23:00

Atlante
1.40

X
4.20

Cancun FC

6.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atlante x Cancun FC:

🔮 Atlante wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atlante, you can win up to $700.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com

Some important points for the tip for Atlante x Cancun FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atlante in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $248.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cancun FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Atlante scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Cancun FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Atlante is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Atlante has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Cancun FC playing at home.

Summary

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Analysis from Atlante x Cancun FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 29 of March

🏟️ Atlante X Cancun FC – Mexico Liga de Expansion
📅 29 of March, 2025 – 23:00
🔵 Atlante – Winning probability: 80.39% | Fair line: 1.24
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.97% | Fair line: 6.26
🔴 Cancun FC – Winning probability: 3.64% | Fair line: 27.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Atlante
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atlante and Cancun FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1291138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atlante x Cancun FC

Is betting on Atlante worth it?

🔵 Atlante: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 800 times – profiting $320.00;
And would lose other 200 times – losing -$200.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$120.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $512.00
And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$328.00.

Is it worth betting on Cancun FC?

🔴 Cancun FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $220.00
And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$740.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atlante x Cancun FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Atlante
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atlante x Cancun FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Atlante and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Atlante.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Atlante.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atlante x Cancun FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.