Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
Predictions
Predictions
Content
Betting Sites
Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Atletico Astorga x Real Avila Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 8
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 8
Atletico Astorga Atletico Astorga
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 62% 1 X 2
Real Avila Real Avila
ODD: @3.6 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Astorga x Real Avila Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 8

Our betting tip for Atletico Astorga x Real Avila, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Atletico Astorga Atletico Astorga
4.20
X
3.60
Real Avila Real Avila
1.67

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico Astorga x Real Avila:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Atletico Astorga x Real Avila:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Astorga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $653.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Avila in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $422.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Real Avila did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Atletico Astorga matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Real Avila matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Real Avila has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Atletico Astorga has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Real Avila playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Atletico Astorga x Real Avila

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Atletico Astorga x Real Avila?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Astorga x Real Avila, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico Astorga x Real Avila for the Spain Tercera Group 8 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Atletico Astorga X Real Avila – Spain Tercera Group 8
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Atletico Astorga – Winning probability: 8.22% | Fair line: 12.16
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.65% | Fair line: 3.37
๐Ÿ”ด Real Avila – Winning probability: 62.13% | Fair line: 1.61
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Atletico Astorga
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atletico Astorga x Real Avila is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Astorga x Real Avila

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Astorga?

๐Ÿ”ต Atletico Astorga: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $256.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$664.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $780.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$80.00.

Is it worth betting on Real Avila?

๐Ÿ”ด Real Avila: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – profiting $415.40;
  • And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$35.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Astorga x Real Avila

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Atletico Astorga
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Astorga x Real Avila

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Atletico Astorga and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Atletico Astorga.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Astorga x Real Avila

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves