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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Atletico Bucaramanga x Deportivo Pereira Betting tips for March 14 in Colombia Primera A
Friday, 14 March 2025, 23h30 Colombia Primera A
Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga
PREDICTION No tip
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Bucaramanga x Deportivo Pereira Betting tips for March 14 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Atletico Bucaramanga x Deportivo Pereira, Friday, 14/3/2025
πŸ“… 14/3/2025
23:30
Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga
1.80
X
3.10
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
4.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico Bucaramanga x Deportivo Pereira:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Atletico Bucaramanga x Deportivo Pereira

Some important points for the tip for Atletico Bucaramanga x Deportivo Pereira:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Bucaramanga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pereira in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Deportivo Pereira, Atletico Bucaramanga scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Atletico Bucaramanga matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Deportivo Pereira conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Atletico Bucaramanga conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Deportivo Pereira.
πŸ‘‰ Atletico Bucaramanga has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Deportivo Pereira playing at home.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Deportivo Pereira as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Atletico Bucaramanga x Deportivo Pereira for the Colombia Primera A – 14 of March

🏟️ Atletico Bucaramanga X Deportivo Pereira – Colombia Primera A
πŸ“… 14 of March, 2025 – 23:30
πŸ”΅ Atletico Bucaramanga – Winning probability: 54.84% | Fair line: 1.82
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.36% | Fair line: 3.79
πŸ”΄ Deportivo Pereira – Winning probability: 18.81% | Fair line: 5.32
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 Atletico Bucaramanga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Bucaramanga and Deportivo Pereira.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1281359 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Bucaramanga x Deportivo Pereira

Is it worth betting on Atletico Bucaramanga?

πŸ”΅ Atletico Bucaramanga: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – profiting $440.00;
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$10.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $546.00;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$194.00.

Should you bet on Deportivo Pereira?

πŸ”΄ Deportivo Pereira: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $712.50;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$97.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Bucaramanga x Deportivo Pereira

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 Atletico Bucaramanga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Atletico Bucaramanga x Deportivo Pereira

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Atletico Bucaramanga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Atletico Bucaramanga.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: 0.5 Deportivo Pereira.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Bucaramanga x Deportivo Pereira

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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