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Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF Betting tips for November 10 in Colombia Primera A
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 01h20 Colombia Primera A
Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF Betting tips for November 10 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF, Sunday, 10/11/2024
📅 10/11/2024
01:20
Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga
2.05
X
3.10
Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF
3.67

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1550.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Bucaramanga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza CEIF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Fortaleza CEIF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Atletico Bucaramanga has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Fortaleza CEIF playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF for the Colombia Primera A – 10 of November

🏟️ Atletico Bucaramanga X Fortaleza CEIF – Colombia Primera A
📅 10 of November, 2024 – 01:20
🔵 Atletico Bucaramanga – Winning probability: 45.94% | Fair line: 2.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.99% | Fair line: 2.94
🔴 Fortaleza CEIF – Winning probability: 20.07% | Fair line: 4.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Bucaramanga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218775 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Bucaramanga?

🔵 Atletico Bucaramanga: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $483.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$57.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $714.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$54.00.

Should you bet on Fortaleza CEIF?

🔴 Fortaleza CEIF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $534.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$266.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Bucaramanga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Atletico Bucaramanga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Atletico Bucaramanga. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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