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Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico Bucaramanga x Independiente Medellin Betting tips for November 4 in Colombia Primera A
Monday, 04 November 2024, 01h30 Colombia Primera A
Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
ODD: @2.89 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Bucaramanga x Independiente Medellin Betting tips for November 4 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Atletico Bucaramanga x Independiente Medellin, Monday, 4/11/2024
📅 4/11/2024
01:30
Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga
2.25
X
2.89
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
3.32

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico Bucaramanga x Independiente Medellin:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1445.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Atletico Bucaramanga x Independiente Medellin:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Bucaramanga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
👉 In the last 6 Atletico Bucaramanga matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Independiente Medellin conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Atletico Bucaramanga conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Independiente Medellin.
👉 Even as a visitor, Independiente Medellin won the last 3 head-to-head matches Atletico Bucaramanga´s territory

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Bucaramanga x Independiente Medellin?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Bucaramanga x Independiente Medellin, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico Bucaramanga x Independiente Medellin for the Colombia Primera A – 4 of November

🏟️ Atletico Bucaramanga X Independiente Medellin – Colombia Primera A
📅 4 of November, 2024 – 01:30
🔵 Atletico Bucaramanga – Winning probability: 40.25% | Fair line: 2.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.00% | Fair line: 2.7
🔴 Independiente Medellin – Winning probability: 22.76% | Fair line: 4.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Bucaramanga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atletico Bucaramanga x Independiente Medellin is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1214939 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Bucaramanga x Independiente Medellin

Is it worth betting on Atletico Bucaramanga?

🔵 Atletico Bucaramanga: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $500.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $699.30
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$69.30.

Is it worth betting on Independiente Medellin?

🔴 Independiente Medellin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $533.60;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$236.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Bucaramanga x Independiente Medellin

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Bucaramanga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Bucaramanga x Independiente Medellin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Atletico Bucaramanga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Atletico Bucaramanga.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Atletico Bucaramanga.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Bucaramanga x Independiente Medellin

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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