Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Deportivo Maldonado Betting tips for November 27 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Deportivo Maldonado, Wednesday, 27/11/2024

📅 27/11/2024 12:45

Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1.95

X 3.25

Deportivo Maldonado 3.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Deportivo Maldonado:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Deportivo Maldonado

Some important points for the tip for Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Deportivo Maldonado: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Fenix Montevideo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Maldonado in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Deportivo Maldonado, with Atletico Fenix Montevideo as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Atletico Fenix Montevideo conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Atletico Fenix Montevideo as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Deportivo Maldonado?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Deportivo Maldonado, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Deportivo Maldonado for the Uruguay Clausura – 27 of November

When the best bet on Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Deportivo Maldonado is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1227868 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Deportivo Maldonado

Is betting on Atletico Fenix Montevideo worth it?

🔵 Atletico Fenix Montevideo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 520 times – profiting $494.00;
• And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$14.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$155.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Maldonado?

🔴 Deportivo Maldonado: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $605.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Deportivo Maldonado

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Deportivo Maldonado

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Atletico Fenix Montevideo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Atletico Fenix Montevideo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Deportivo Maldonado.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Deportivo Maldonado

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.