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Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Nacional De Football Betting tips for November 13 in Uruguay Clausura
Wednesday, 13 November 2024, 19h30 Uruguay Clausura
Atletico Fenix Montevideo Atletico Fenix Montevideo
PREDICTION Atletico Fenix Montevideo wins Probability 14% 1 X 2
Nacional De Football Nacional De Football
ODD: @7 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Nacional De Football Betting tips for November 13 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Nacional De Football, Wednesday, 13/11/2024
📅 13/11/2024
19:30
Atletico Fenix Montevideo Atletico Fenix Montevideo
7.00
X
4.33
Nacional De Football Nacional De Football
1.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Nacional De Football:

🔮 Atletico Fenix Montevideo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Fenix Montevideo, you can win up to $3500.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Nacional De Football:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Fenix Montevideo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-5.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional De Football in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $67.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Nacional De Football scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Nacional De Football, Atletico Fenix Montevideo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Atletico Fenix Montevideo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Nacional De Football.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Nacional De Football?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Nacional De Football:

Analysis from Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Nacional De Football for the Uruguay Clausura – 13 of November

🏟️ Atletico Fenix Montevideo X Nacional De Football – Uruguay Clausura
📅 13 of November, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Atletico Fenix Montevideo – Winning probability: 14.44% | Fair line: 6.92
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.17% | Fair line: 7.59
🔴 Nacional De Football – Winning probability: 72.39% | Fair line: 1.38
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Fenix Montevideo and Nacional De Football.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1220960 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Nacional De Football

Should you bet on Atletico Fenix Montevideo?

🔵 Atletico Fenix Montevideo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $840.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$20.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $432.90
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$437.10.

Is it worth betting on Nacional De Football?

🔴 Nacional De Football: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – profiting $288.00;
  • And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$8.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Nacional De Football

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Nacional De Football

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Atletico Fenix Montevideo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Atletico Fenix Montevideo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Atletico Fenix Montevideo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Fenix Montevideo x Nacional De Football

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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