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Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico Lodigiani x Cassino Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Atletico Lodigiani Atletico Lodigiani
PREDICTION No tip
Cassino Cassino
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Atletico Lodigiani x Cassino Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Atletico Lodigiani x Cassino, Sunday, 21/12/2025
📅 21/12/2025
13:30
Atletico Lodigiani Atletico Lodigiani
2.30
X
3.25
Cassino Cassino
2.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico Lodigiani x Cassino:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Atletico Lodigiani x Cassino

Important information for your tip for Atletico Lodigiani x Cassino:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Lodigiani in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $445.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cassino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Atletico Lodigiani scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Atletico Lodigiani matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Atletico Lodigiani conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Cassino conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Atletico Lodigiani is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Cassino as away team: it comes from 8 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Atletico Lodigiani x Cassino for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December

🏟️ Atletico Lodigiani X Cassino – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Atletico Lodigiani – Winning probability: 45.13% | Fair line: 2.22
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.58% | Fair line: 3.91
🔴 Cassino – Winning probability: 29.29% | Fair line: 3.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Lodigiani
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Lodigiani and Cassino.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455219 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Lodigiani x Cassino

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Lodigiani?

🔵 Atletico Lodigiani: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$35.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$155.00.

Should you bet on Cassino?

🔴 Cassino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $493.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$217.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Lodigiani x Cassino

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Lodigiani
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Lodigiani x Cassino

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Atletico Lodigiani, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Atletico Lodigiani.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Lodigiani x Cassino

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves