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Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico Madrid x Barcelona Betting tips for April 2 in Spain Copa del Rey
Wednesday, 02 April 2025, 19h30 Spain Copa del Rey
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
PREDICTION Barcelona Wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
Barcelona Barcelona
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Madrid x Barcelona Betting tips for April 2 in Spain Copa del Rey

Our betting tip for Atletico Madrid x Barcelona, Wednesday, 2/4/2025
📅 2/4/2025
19:30
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
2.75
X
3.59
Barcelona Barcelona
2.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico Madrid x Barcelona:

🔮 Barcelona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $1150.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Atletico Madrid x Barcelona:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $99.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $171.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Atletico Madrid conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Barcelona.
👉 Even as a visitor, Barcelona won the last 3 head-to-head matches Atletico Madrid´s territory

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Madrid x Barcelona?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Atletico Madrid x Barcelona:

Analysis from Atletico Madrid x Barcelona for the Spain Copa del Rey – 2 of April

🏟️ Atletico Madrid X Barcelona – Spain Copa del Rey
📅 2 of April, 2025 – 19:30
🔵 Atletico Madrid – Winning probability: 35.15% | Fair line: 2.85
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.81% | Fair line: 9.25
🔴 Barcelona – Winning probability: 54.04% | Fair line: 1.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atletico Madrid x Barcelona is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1294623 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Madrid x Barcelona

Is it worth betting on Atletico Madrid?

🔵 Atletico Madrid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $612.50;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$37.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.59. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $284.90;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$605.10.

Is it worth betting on Barcelona?

🔴 Barcelona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $702.00;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$242.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid x Barcelona

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Barcelona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Atletico Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Atletico Madrid.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Atletico Madrid.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid x Barcelona

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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