Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid Betting tips for January 8 in Spain Super Cup
| 📅 8/1/2026 19:00 |
 Atletico Madrid2.92 |
X 3.50 |
Real Madrid  2.20 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid:
🔮 Atletico Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid, you can win up to $1460.00!
Important information for your tip for Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $247.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $101.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Atletico Madrid scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Real Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Real Madrid matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Atletico Madrid is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Real Madrid has not lost any of them.
👉 Atletico Madrid has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Real Madrid playing at home.
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2026. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid for the Spain Super Cup – 8 of January
🏟️ Atletico Madrid X Real Madrid – Spain Super Cup
📅 8 of January, 2026 – 19:00
🔵 Atletico Madrid – Winning probability: 48.81% | Fair line: 2.05
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.68% | Fair line: 6.0
🔴 Real Madrid – Winning probability: 34.52% | Fair line: 2.9
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1460156 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Madrid?
🔵 Atletico Madrid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – profiting $940.80;
- And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$430.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $425.00
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$405.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Real Madrid?
🔴 Real Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
- And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$230.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Atletico Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Atletico Madrid.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Atletico Madrid.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid x Real Madrid
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
