Atletico Morelia x Correcaminos Betting tips for March 29 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Atletico Morelia x Correcaminos, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025 23:00

Atletico Morelia 1.58

X 3.70

Correcaminos 4.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Morelia x Correcaminos:

🔮 Atletico Morelia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Morelia, you can win up to $790.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Atletico Morelia x Correcaminos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Morelia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $255.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Correcaminos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Atletico Morelia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Correcaminos scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Correcaminos, Atletico Morelia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Atletico Morelia is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Atletico Morelia has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Correcaminos.

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Analysis from Atletico Morelia x Correcaminos for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 29 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Morelia and Correcaminos.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1291138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Morelia x Correcaminos

Is it worth betting on Atletico Morelia?

🔵 Atletico Morelia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 76.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 760 times – having a profit of $440.80;
• And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$200.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$408.00.

Should you bet on Correcaminos?

🔴 Correcaminos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $304.00
• And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$616.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Morelia x Correcaminos

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Morelia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Morelia x Correcaminos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Atletico Morelia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Atletico Morelia. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Morelia x Correcaminos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.