Atletico Morelia x Mineros de Zacatecas Betting tips for October 18 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Atletico Morelia x Mineros de Zacatecas, Friday, 18/10/2024

📅 18/10/2024 01:00

Atletico Morelia 2.40

X 3.35

Mineros de Zacatecas 2.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico Morelia x Mineros de Zacatecas:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Atletico Morelia x Mineros de Zacatecas

The main points for the tip for Atletico Morelia x Mineros de Zacatecas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Morelia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-17.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mineros de Zacatecas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mineros de Zacatecas, Atletico Morelia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Atletico Morelia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Atletico Morelia x Mineros de Zacatecas, with Atletico Morelia as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Mineros de Zacatecas conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Atletico Morelia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Mineros de Zacatecas.

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Analysis from Atletico Morelia x Mineros de Zacatecas for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 18 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Morelia x Mineros de Zacatecas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1202638 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Morelia x Mineros de Zacatecas

Should you bet on Atletico Morelia?

🔵 Atletico Morelia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $476.00;
• And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $728.50;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$38.50.

Is betting on Mineros de Zacatecas worth it?

🔴 Mineros de Zacatecas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – profiting $560.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$90.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Morelia x Mineros de Zacatecas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Atletico Morelia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Morelia x Mineros de Zacatecas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Atletico Morelia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Atletico Morelia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Mineros de Zacatecas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Morelia x Mineros de Zacatecas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.