Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC Betting tips for November 1 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
| 📅 1/11/2024 03:00 |
 Atletico Morelia1.79 |
X 3.50 |
Tlaxcala FC  3.90 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!
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The main points for the tip for Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Morelia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-17.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 1 of November
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🏟️ Atletico Morelia X Tlaxcala FC – Mexico Liga de Expansion |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213279 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC
Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Morelia?
🔵 Atletico Morelia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.79. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $323.90
- And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$266.10.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $925.00;
- And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$295.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Tlaxcala FC?
🔴 Tlaxcala FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$142.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Atletico Morelia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Atletico Morelia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Atletico Morelia.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Atletico Morelia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
