Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC Betting tips for November 1 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
| 📅 1/11/2024 03:00 |
 Atletico Morelia1.76 |
X 3.50 |
Tlaxcala FC  4.05 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!
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The main points for the tip for Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Morelia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-17.0. |
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Analysis from Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 1 of November
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🏟️ Atletico Morelia X Tlaxcala FC – Mexico Liga de Expansion |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Morelia and Tlaxcala FC.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213227 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC
Should you bet on Atletico Morelia?
🔵 Atletico Morelia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $380.00
- And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $775.00;
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$85.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Tlaxcala FC?
🔴 Tlaxcala FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $549.00;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$271.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Morelia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Atletico Morelia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Atletico Morelia.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Atletico Morelia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Morelia x Tlaxcala FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
