Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportes Tolima Betting tips for December 22 in Colombia Primera A
📅 22/12/2024 23:00 |
Atletico Nacional Medellin 1.95 |
X 3.10 |
Deportes Tolima 3.91 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportes Tolima:
🔮 Atletico Nacional Medellin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Nacional Medellin, you can win up to $975.00!
The main points for the tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportes Tolima: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $68.0. |
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Analysis from Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportes Tolima for the Colombia Primera A – 22 of December
🏟️ Atletico Nacional Medellin X Deportes Tolima – Colombia Primera A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Nacional Medellin and Deportes Tolima.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1239261 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportes Tolima
Is betting on Atletico Nacional Medellin worth it?
🔵 Atletico Nacional Medellin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $608.00;
- And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$248.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$318.00.
Should you bet on Deportes Tolima?
🔴 Deportes Tolima: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $436.50;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$413.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportes Tolima
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportes Tolima
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Atletico Nacional Medellin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportes Tolima
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.