Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Cali Betting tips for October 9 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Cali, Wednesday, 9/10/2024

📅 9/10/2024 21:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin 1.53

X 3.76

Deportivo Cali 5.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Cali:

🔮 Atletico Nacional Medellin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Nacional Medellin, you can win up to $765.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Cali: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-57.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Cali in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Deportivo Cali, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Atletico Nacional Medellin matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Atletico Nacional Medellin conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Deportivo Cali conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Atletico Nacional Medellin is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Cali for the Colombia Primera A – 9 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Cali right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1197596 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Cali

Is it worth betting on Atletico Nacional Medellin?

🔵 Atletico Nacional Medellin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $376.30
• And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$86.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $496.80
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$323.20.

Is it worth betting on Deportivo Cali?

🔴 Deportivo Cali: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $539.00
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$351.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Cali

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Cali

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Atletico Nacional Medellin.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Atletico Nacional Medellin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Cali

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.