Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto Betting tips for December 5 in Colombia Primera A
Thursday, 05 December 2024, 23h30 Colombia Primera A
Atletico Nacional Medellin Atletico Nacional Medellin
PREDICTION Atletico Nacional Medellin wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
ODD: @1.56 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto Betting tips for December 5 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto, Thursday, 5/12/2024
📅 5/12/2024
23:30
Atletico Nacional Medellin Atletico Nacional Medellin
1.56
X
3.50
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
5.74

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto:

🔮 Atletico Nacional Medellin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Nacional Medellin, you can win up to $780.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-95.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pasto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Deportivo Pasto scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Deportivo Pasto, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Deportivo Pasto matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Deportivo Pasto conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Atletico Nacional Medellin has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Deportivo Pasto playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto:

Analysis from Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto for the Colombia Primera A – 5 of December

🏟️ Atletico Nacional Medellin X Deportivo Pasto – Colombia Primera A
📅 5 of December, 2024 – 23:30
🔵 Atletico Nacional Medellin – Winning probability: 73.68% | Fair line: 1.36
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.51% | Fair line: 5.71
🔴 Deportivo Pasto – Winning probability: 8.81% | Fair line: 11.34
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1232417 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin?

🔵 Atletico Nacional Medellin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – profiting $414.40;
  • And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$154.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $450.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$370.00.

Is betting on Deportivo Pasto worth it?

🔴 Deportivo Pasto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $426.60;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$483.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Atletico Nacional Medellin.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Deportivo Pasto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters