Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Medellin Betting tips for December 13 in Colombia Cup
| 📅 13/12/2025 22:00 |
 Atletico Nacional Medellin1.91 |
X 3.28 |
Independiente Medellin  3.75 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Medellin:
🔮 Atletico Nacional Medellin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Nacional Medellin, you can win up to $955.00!
Important information for your tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Medellin:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $151.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Independiente Medellin, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Independiente Medellin conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Atletico Nacional Medellin conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Independiente Medellin.
👉 Atletico Nacional Medellin has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Independiente Medellin playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Independiente Medellin as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Medellin?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Medellin, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Medellin for the Colombia Cup – 13 of December
🏟️ Atletico Nacional Medellin X Independiente Medellin – Colombia Cup
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Atletico Nacional Medellin – Winning probability: 63.81% | Fair line: 1.57
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.87% | Fair line: 5.6
🔴 Independiente Medellin – Winning probability: 18.32% | Fair line: 5.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Medellin is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452605 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Medellin
Is it worth betting on Atletico Nacional Medellin?
🔵 Atletico Nacional Medellin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $582.40;
- And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$222.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $410.40
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$409.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on Independiente Medellin?
🔴 Independiente Medellin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $495.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$325.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Medellin
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Medellin
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Atletico Nacional Medellin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Independiente Medellin.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Medellin
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
