Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe Betting tips for November 21 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe, Thursday, 21/11/2024

📅 21/11/2024 01:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin 2.05

X 3.00

Independiente Santa Fe 3.65

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-10.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1.0 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Independiente Santa Fe, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Atletico Nacional Medellin matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Independiente Santa Fe has not lost any of them. 👉 Atletico Nacional Medellin has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Independiente Santa Fe playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe for the Colombia Primera A – 21 of November

When the best bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1223927 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe

Is betting on Atletico Nacional Medellin worth it?

🔵 Atletico Nacional Medellin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – profiting $472.50;
• And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$77.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $660.00;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$10.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Independiente Santa Fe?

🔴 Independiente Santa Fe: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $583.00
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$197.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Atletico Nacional Medellin.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Atletico Nacional Medellin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Independiente Santa Fe

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.