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Home ยป Predictions ยป Atletico Nacional Medellin x Jaguares de Cordoba Betting tips for October 25 in Colombia Cup
Friday, 25 October 2024, 01h30 Colombia Cup
Atletico Nacional Medellin Atletico Nacional Medellin
PREDICTION Atletico Nacional Medellin wins Probability 91% 1 X 2
Jaguares de Cordoba Jaguares de Cordoba
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Nacional Medellin x Jaguares de Cordoba Betting tips for October 25 in Colombia Cup

Our betting tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Jaguares de Cordoba, Friday, 25/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 25/10/2024
01:30
Atletico Nacional Medellin Atletico Nacional Medellin
1.36
X
4.33
Jaguares de Cordoba Jaguares de Cordoba
7.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Jaguares de Cordoba:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Atletico Nacional Medellin wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Nacional Medellin, you can win up to $680.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Jaguares de Cordoba:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $87.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Jaguares de Cordoba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Jaguares de Cordoba, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Atletico Nacional Medellin conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Atletico Nacional Medellin has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Jaguares de Cordoba.

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Summary

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Analysis from Atletico Nacional Medellin x Jaguares de Cordoba for the Colombia Cup – 25 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Atletico Nacional Medellin X Jaguares de Cordoba – Colombia Cup
๐Ÿ“… 25 of October, 2024 – 01:30
๐Ÿ”ต Atletico Nacional Medellin – Winning probability: 91.20% | Fair line: 1.1
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.42% | Fair line: 13.48
๐Ÿ”ด Jaguares de Cordoba – Winning probability: 1.38% | Fair line: 72.32
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Jaguares de Cordoba right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207665 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Jaguares de Cordoba

Should you bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin?

๐Ÿ”ต Atletico Nacional Medellin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 91.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 910 times – profiting $327.60;
  • And would have lost other 90 times – with a loss of -$90.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$237.60.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $233.10;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$696.90.

Should you bet on Jaguares de Cordoba?

๐Ÿ”ด Jaguares de Cordoba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $65.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$925.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Nacional Medellin x Jaguares de Cordoba

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Jaguares de Cordoba

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Atletico Nacional Medellin.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Atletico Nacional Medellin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Jaguares de Cordoba

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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