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Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico Nacional Medellin x Millonarios Betting tips for December 3 in Colombia Primera A
Tuesday, 03 December 2024, 01h30 Colombia Primera A
Atletico Nacional Medellin Atletico Nacional Medellin
PREDICTION Millonarios Wins Probability 35% 1 X 2
Millonarios Millonarios
ODD: @3.19 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Nacional Medellin x Millonarios Betting tips for December 3 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Millonarios, Tuesday, 3/12/2024
📅 3/12/2024
01:30
Atletico Nacional Medellin Atletico Nacional Medellin
2.30
X
3.00
Millonarios Millonarios
3.19

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Millonarios:

🔮 Millonarios wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Millonarios, you can win up to $1595.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Millonarios:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $41.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Millonarios in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $258.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Atletico Nacional Medellin x Millonarios, with Atletico Nacional Medellin as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Atletico Nacional Medellin conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Millonarios.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Millonarios has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin x Millonarios?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin x Millonarios, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico Nacional Medellin x Millonarios for the Colombia Primera A – 3 of December

🏟️ Atletico Nacional Medellin X Millonarios – Colombia Primera A
📅 3 of December, 2024 – 01:30
🔵 Atletico Nacional Medellin – Winning probability: 45.84% | Fair line: 2.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.08% | Fair line: 5.24
🔴 Millonarios – Winning probability: 35.08% | Fair line: 2.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Millonarios right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1231409 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Millonarios

Is it worth betting on Atletico Nacional Medellin?

🔵 Atletico Nacional Medellin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $598.00;
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$58.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $380.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$430.00.

Is betting on Millonarios worth it?

🔴 Millonarios: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.19. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $766.50;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$116.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Nacional Medellin x Millonarios

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Millonarios

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Atletico Nacional Medellin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Atletico Nacional Medellin.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Millonarios.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Millonarios

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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