Atletico Paranaense U20 x Ferroviario U20 Betting tips for January 4 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup

Our betting tip for Atletico Paranaense U20 x Ferroviario U20, Saturday, 4/1/2025

📅 4/1/2025 00:45

Atletico Paranaense U20 1.23

X 5.10

Ferroviario U20 7.36

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico Paranaense U20 x Ferroviario U20:

🔮 Atletico Paranaense U20 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Paranaense U20, you can win up to $615.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atletico Paranaense U20 x Ferroviario U20: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Paranaense U20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $83.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ferroviario U20 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Atletico Paranaense U20 scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Ferroviario U20 scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Ferroviario U20 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Ferroviario U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Atletico Paranaense U20 x Ferroviario U20 for the Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup – 4 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Paranaense U20 and Ferroviario U20.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1241790 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Paranaense U20 x Ferroviario U20

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Paranaense U20?

🔵 Atletico Paranaense U20: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 94.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 940 times – having a profit of $216.20;
• And would lose other 60 times – losing -$60.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$156.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $164.00
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$796.00.

Should you bet on Ferroviario U20?

🔴 Ferroviario U20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $127.20;
• And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$852.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Paranaense U20 x Ferroviario U20

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Atletico Paranaense U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Paranaense U20 x Ferroviario U20

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 Atletico Paranaense U20, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Atletico Paranaense U20.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Atletico Paranaense U20.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Paranaense U20 x Ferroviario U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.