Atletico Saguntino x La Nucia Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 6

Our betting tip for Atletico Saguntino x La Nucia, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 12:30

Atletico Saguntino 1.90

X 3.27

La Nucia 3.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Saguntino x La Nucia:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Atletico Saguntino x La Nucia

The main points for the tip for Atletico Saguntino x La Nucia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Saguntino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $82.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on La Nucia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, La Nucia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Atletico Saguntino matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, La Nucia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Atletico Saguntino x La Nucia for the Spain Tercera Group 6 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Saguntino and La Nucia.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Saguntino x La Nucia

Is it worth betting on Atletico Saguntino?

🔵 Atletico Saguntino: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $414.00
• And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$126.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $499.40
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$280.60.

Is betting on La Nucia worth it?

🔴 La Nucia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $832.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$152.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Saguntino x La Nucia

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atletico Saguntino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Saguntino x La Nucia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Atletico Saguntino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Atletico Saguntino.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 La Nucia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Saguntino x La Nucia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.