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Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico San Luis Women x Juarez FC Women Betting tips for September 30 in Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Monday, 30 September 2024, 20h00 Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Atletico San Luis Women Atletico San Luis Women
PREDICTION Juarez FC Women Wins Probability 88% 1 X 2
Juarez FC Women Juarez FC Women
ODD: @1.33 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico San Luis Women x Juarez FC Women Betting tips for September 30 in Mexico Liga MX Femenil

Our betting tip for Atletico San Luis Women x Juarez FC Women, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
20:00
Atletico San Luis Women Atletico San Luis Women
7.00
X
4.50
Juarez FC Women Juarez FC Women
1.33

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico San Luis Women x Juarez FC Women:

🔮 Juarez FC Women wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Juarez FC Women, you can win up to $665.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Atletico San Luis Women x Juarez FC Women:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico San Luis Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Juarez FC Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-75.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Atletico San Luis Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Juarez FC Women matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 Atletico San Luis Women matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Atletico San Luis Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Atletico San Luis Women x Juarez FC Women?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico San Luis Women x Juarez FC Women, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico San Luis Women x Juarez FC Women for the Mexico Liga MX Femenil – 30 of September

🏟️ Atletico San Luis Women X Juarez FC Women – Mexico Liga MX Femenil
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Atletico San Luis Women – Winning probability: 1.99% | Fair line: 50.13
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.51% | Fair line: 10.51
🔴 Juarez FC Women – Winning probability: 88.49% | Fair line: 1.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Atletico San Luis Women
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atletico San Luis Women x Juarez FC Women is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192575 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico San Luis Women x Juarez FC Women

Is it worth betting on Atletico San Luis Women?

🔵 Atletico San Luis Women: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $120.00;
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$860.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $350.00
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Is it worth betting on Juarez FC Women?

🔴 Juarez FC Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 880 times – having a profit of $290.40;
  • And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$170.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico San Luis Women x Juarez FC Women

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Atletico San Luis Women
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico San Luis Women x Juarez FC Women

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.5 Atletico San Luis Women, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Atletico San Luis Women.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Juarez FC Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico San Luis Women x Juarez FC Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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