Atletico Tordesillas x Arandina Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 8

Our betting tip for Atletico Tordesillas x Arandina, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 12:00

Atletico Tordesillas 2.27

X 3.00

Arandina 2.92

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico Tordesillas x Arandina:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Atletico Tordesillas x Arandina

Some important points for the tip for Atletico Tordesillas x Arandina: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Tordesillas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arandina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $230.0. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Atletico Tordesillas x Arandina, with Atletico Tordesillas as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Atletico Tordesillas has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Arandina playing at home.

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Analysis from Atletico Tordesillas x Arandina for the Spain Tercera Group 8 – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Tordesillas x Arandina right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Tordesillas x Arandina

Is it worth betting on Atletico Tordesillas?

🔵 Atletico Tordesillas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $533.40
• And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$46.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $560.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Arandina?

🔴 Arandina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $556.80;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$153.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Tordesillas x Arandina

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atletico Tordesillas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Tordesillas x Arandina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Atletico Tordesillas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Atletico Tordesillas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Arandina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Tordesillas x Arandina

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.