Aubervilliers x Dunkerque Betting tips for November 30 in France Cup
| 📅 30/11/2024 13:30 |
 Aubervilliers12.82 |
X 5.25 |
Dunkerque  1.21 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Aubervilliers x Dunkerque:
🔮 Dunkerque wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dunkerque, you can win up to $605.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Aubervilliers x Dunkerque: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aubervilliers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Aubervilliers x Dunkerque for the France Cup – 30 of November
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🏟️ Aubervilliers X Dunkerque – France Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Aubervilliers x Dunkerque right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Aubervilliers x Dunkerque
Should you bet on Aubervilliers?
🔵 Aubervilliers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 12.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
- And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $42.50
- And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$947.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Dunkerque?
🔴 Dunkerque: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 990 times – having a profit of $207.90;
- And would lose other 10 times – losing -$10.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$197.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Aubervilliers x Dunkerque
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Aubervilliers
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aubervilliers x Dunkerque
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.75 Aubervilliers, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.75 Aubervilliers.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aubervilliers x Dunkerque
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
